Thursday, May 26, 2011

spotlight: shadow stock markets

shadow stock markets are private, unregulated markets in which investors can purchase shares in non-publicly traded companies prior to an ipo launch.  to participate in a shadow market, the securities and exchange commission requires investors to have a net worth greater than $1 million.  these "accredited" investors have an early bird investment opportunity before average investor demand increases the share price; however, the accredited investor is exposed to greater risk and uncertainty, as well as lack of liquidity and disclosure requirements from the company.

a very recent and relevant example was when goldman sachs teamed up with russian investor yuri milner and pumped $500 million into facebook. 

ah, the russians. of course.

bubble, bubble, toil and trouble?

linkedin. zynga, groupon, facebook

linkedin had an explosive first day of trading.  the company's offer price of $45 p/s catapulted to $122 p/s and is currently trading around $95 p/s.  the firm's market value nearly reached $9 billion.

there are other heavy hitters in the pipeline.  zynga is rumored to launch its ipo in the next couple weeks.  groupon's will be by the end of the year.  and the almighty king facebook will launch its ipo in 2012.

are these social media firms really worth it?  they have no organic product or service to sell - their economic value is generated from marketing other products and services.  are firms that coordinate information worth billions?  if so, why don't administrative assistants have higher salaries?

bring on the shorts.

Tuesday, May 24, 2011

too big to hbo

hbo premiered "too big to fail" last night.  the film was based on andrew ross sorkin's novel of the same title

when it was over, i was somehow disappointed and exhilarated. 

back story:  i rented the audio book from the library and listened whilst running (for some odd reason i can't just "read" nonfiction anymore); however, i accidentally heard the first two hours under my ipod's shuffle setting.  william hughes, the narrator, was so compelling that i thought sorkin just had an interesting writing style.  needless to say, i only made it to about chapter five before i had to return the audio book to the library.

i was disappointed that the time i invested in the novel was over in the first six minutes of the film.  i enjoyed dick fuld's background and i found erin callan's story particularly intriguing.  i obviously did not get very far in the book, but there was a lot of detail, emotion, and juicy gossip that just didn't have time for portrayal in the movie. 

i did enjoy the humor, timeline, and questions poised throughout the film.  i also forgot about how john mccain suspended his campaign to return to washington during the crisis - so thanks for reminding me.  overall, the cast was great.  evan handler as lloyld blankfein was my favorite, but ayad akhtar's version of neel kashkari was lukewarm.

the purpose of the novel was to humanize the 2008 financial crisis.  the film did so, but failed to meet its potential, seemingly more focused on the logistical lessons learned from the immediate events which led to and the ultimate passage of the troubled assets relief program.  i believe, on content, sorkin's work would have thrived as a miniseries - but i don't think it would've generated a great enough audience to merit that length.

the film didn't have the personal emotional gravitas that i was expecting - but it did make those historic events accessible to outsiders who would not have necessarily read the book.  for more insight, i would highly recommend watching this 20-minute video:



and at the end of the day, the film did make me want to re-checkout the audio book from the library.